This is their first meeting.
Thiem has a good record as underdog on clay. He won 11 from his 12 matches as dog going back to July 2014.
Ferrer is the defending champion this week. We saw a poor start from Ferrer in his last match. He lost it 1-6 to Ramos. He hasn’t looked as sharp as normal this week. With the form Thiem has shown so far in 2016 he will have to lift his game today.
Thiem had a long week last week and may be a little tired. Against an in form Ferrer that would be a problem for him but as Ferrer is not at the top of his game I think we see 3 sets.
Value is on Thiem.