Anderson won all 3 of their previous matches. Their last one was in January 2013. He won in straight sets on a hard court. All matches were won in 2 sets. They have never played on clay.
Anderson reached the third round last year. He made his come back from injury in Madrid. He was competitive against Monfils for the opening set.
Lopez reached the second round last week but the conditions in Madrid were better for him. The slower courts/conditions in Rome don’t suit him quite as much. He reached the second round last year.
Value is on Anderson but match fitness could be an issue for him. He needs a fast start to put Lopez on the back foot.
Lay Lopez around 1.30.