ATP Rome Masters, Final: Djokovic v Nadal

Due to start at 3 pm

Djokovic 2.68, Nadal 1.59

Djokovic leads their previous matches 28-25. Their most recent meeting was in the final of the Australian Open in January. Djokovic won on a hard court in straight sets.  Nadal won their last 2 clay matches. Overall results are a little better for Djokovic in the last 12 months and also in 2019. Both have excellent clay records in last 12 months. This season Nadal has won 13 of 16 matches. Djokovic won 11 of 12.

Djokovic was very comfortable in his first 2 matches this week but came under a lot of pressure from Del Potro in the quarter final. Del Potro took the opening set and set two went to a tie break. Djokovic saved 2 match points in the tie break and won the set.  A single break in the third set was enough for him to take the match.  He also needed 3 sets against Schwartzman in the semi final.

 

Nadal has not lost a set so far. Verdasco had 3 break points at 4-4 in the first set of their quarter final match but couldn’t take them and didn’t win another game in the match.  Tsitsipas kept both the sets tight in the semi final. Nadal took each set with a single break of serve.

Stats for the tournament favour Nadal. Djokovic usually steps up his game against Nadal but I still have to favour Nadal to win. He was very disappointing in the Australian Open final and will be out for revenge today. We have a good chance of 3 seeing sets.

Back Nadal around 1.90.

 

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