Berdych leads their previous matches 8-7. Their last meeting was in March this year. He won in 3 sets on a hard court in Miami.
Neither player has been at their best this week. Berdych needed 3 sets in the quarter final with Sousa and his first match of the week was won in 2 tie breaks against Kukushkin. He played a better match in the semi final. He faced just 1 break point against Bellucci.
Gasquet beat Mischa Zverev in 2 tie breaks. If he was playing his best tennis that match would never have been so close. I had expected Tipsarevic to give him more problems but the Serb retired in the 2nd set.
I am going with Berdych to take the title. He was more like the player we expect in the last round. Wait for 1.85 before entering. He starts around 1.68.