Millman 2.32, Paire 1.73
Millman won their only previous meeting. That was at Wimbledon in 2016. He won in 4 sets.
Millman has better recent results indoors. He won 5 of 7 in the last 12 months. Paire won 6 of 13. Millman lost the opening set to in form Sugita in the last round. Sugita had played two tough Davis Cup matches at the weekend and as expected tired towards the end of the match. His first serve percentage was low at 43%. It was very effective when it did find the target but he will need to improve that today.
Paire played well in the last round to beat Zverev. He saved all 5 of the break points that he faced. His first serve was excellent. He won 84% of points on it. He reached the semi finals last year.
Value on Millman to take at least a set. Backing both players on serve is an option. Lay the set 1 winner.