Chung 1.70, Rublev 2.36
This will be their first meeting.
Rublev’s hard court results are better this year. His ROI is also higher. He was only broken once by Darcis in the last round. he has won 63% of his matches this season. On hard courts that success rate rises a little to 66%. He has won 7 of his last 10 on hard courts.
Chung has won 65% of his matches in 2017. His ROI is higher when all surfaces are included. On hard courts he has won 57% of his matches this season and has won 3 of his last 10 on this surface.
Value on Rublev to take at least a set. Lay Chung below 1.50 and remove liability if he then gets broken.
Update: Chung had 3 break points in the opening game but didn’t take them. He was broken in the very next game. Rublev took the set for a decent trade.
Chung won in 3 sets.