Head to heads are 1-1. Their most recent meeting was in August last year at the US Open. Bautista Agut won in 5 sets. Carreno Busta won on clay in 2011.
I really don’t know what to make of Bautista Agut this week. He has needed a third set in 3 of his 4 matches and lost the second set yesterday against Troicki from being 5-0 up. He has given more chances on his serve than we might expect this week but in most cases has found a way to protect his serve.
Carreno Busta has played above his average levels this week. I had felt Millman was destined to at least get to the final but Carreno Busta out battled him.
Both their matches have gone to a deciding set and I think we see 3 sets today. Value on is Carreno Busta.
Bautista Agut wins if he stays focused.