Murray leads the head to heads 12-3. Their last match was in Cincinnati in August. Cilic won in straight sets on a hard court. Murray was pretty exhausted for that match and really needed the rest.
Murray has put everything into overhauling Djokovic to take the top ranking. He has got to be feeling at least a little tired after his amazing season but I am sure he wants to win this one too. He also knows that Djokovic can take back the number 1 ranking in this tournament. He has the added advantage of being in front of a “home” crowd.
Cilic reached the finals in 2014 and failed to win a single round robin match. his recent form has been strong. He won the title in Basel and reached the semis in Paris where he lost to Isner. He just ran out of energy for that match.
I don’t like the price on Murray but will back him if he gets broken early