Stefanos Tsitsipas 2.16, Alexander Zverev 1.85
Round Robin Stage
Due to start at 8pm.
Tsitsipas leads their previous matches 3-1. Their last meeting was in the Beijing semi final in September. Tsitsipas won on a hard court in 2 close sets. He won both their 2019 matches with the other being on clay in Madrid in May. He won that one in 3 sets. Zverev won on a hard court in Washington in July last season.
Overall results in 2019 are better for Tsitsipas. His indoor results are also a little stronger this year. Last year Zverev won this tournament and Tsitsipas won the Next Gen tournament.
Both won their last match as big underdog.
Tsitsipas didn’t face a single break point against Medvedev. It was a match of very few chances but he played the big points well. He only managed to break Medvedev once. He lost just 5 points on his first serve.
I expected Zverev to have a decent chance against Nadal and that certainly proved to be the case. Nadal was not at his best but Zverev made life very difficult for him. He served well and didn’t face a break point. He also returned strongly and broke the Nadal serve 3 times.
We have some value on Tsitsipas. The sets will be very tight and tie breaks are likely. Lay Zverev around 1.65 and remove the liability at 2.20. Lay the set 1 winner.
Update: Very tight first set that went to Tsitsipas with a late break. He dominated the second set.
Tsitsipas won 6-3, 6-2.