Australian Open 2013, week 1 – Sunday night

The comment I expect to see in the chatroom most often for the first 2 or 3 nights is about how many games are on at once. This a common problem with Grand Slams and if you try to monitor too many matches you can end up missing most of your entry points. Do your research and pick out the matches that you have a strong opinion on and stick with those.

For the first couple of nights I won’t be going into any great detail on matches  as it’s not always easy to know where the liquidity will be. Bet365 are streaming some of the matches but often choose the big names. In the first round of a Slam that can mean a one sided match which aren’t always the best for traders.


Dimitrov reached the final in Brisbane where he lost to Murray. He then tanked his first round match in Sydney to Fognini. Benneteau’s game looked solid last week and he served very well. He lost out to Anderson having taken the opening set. Dimitrov leads the head to heads 2-0 although both went to 3 sets and the most recent was decided in 3 tie breaks.

Dimitrov starts at 1.61 which is a little low as I expect another close match. Something like 1.85 – 1.90 would be a more attractive entry. I will wait for that price range before backing Dimitrov.

Update: Dimitrov took a 3-0 lead in the first set but somehow managed to lose the set. Maybe he wasn’t 100% but lost in straight sets.

Benneteau won 6-4, 6-2, 6-4.


Bogomolov’s form has been poor to say the least. Hard court’s aren’t Brian Bakers’ best surface but I expect him to have too much for the Russian/American/Russian. A healthy price of 1.76 on Baker.

Update: Baker took the opening 2 sets but Bogomolov pulled it back to 2-2.

Baker won 7-6, 6-3, 6-73-6, 6-2.


Parmentier usually starts the year well. She beat McHale in Auckland. The head to heads with Govortsova are 1-1. Parmentier won the only match they have played on a hard court although that was in 2007. She starts as under dog today but I feel she has a decent chance. Later in the season she starts to slow down but well worth a back now.

Update: Parmentier easily took the opening set but it was Govortsova who won in 3 sets.

Govortsova won 2-6, 6-3, 6-2.

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