Australian Open 2014 – week 1, Friday

2 hours sleep meant I didn’t survive too much of the nightshift so the rain was ideal!

 

The markets are waking up to Ferrer and he starts at 1.40 against Chardy. The usual start price of 1.10 to 1.15 would have been a lay but I am tempted with a part stake back on him at the start. Ferrer often starts slowly though and I can see us getting a higher entry in the first few games.

They have played 5 times before but nothing in the last 3 seasons. The head to head record is 4-1 for Ferrer although Chardy is playing some of the best tennis of is career.

The courts don’t help Ferrer but I think he finds a way to win this one. Chardy doesn’t often string 3 good performances together.

Update: Ferrer won 6-2, 7-6, 6-2.

 

I expect Bouchard to beat Davis but she will have to work for the win. Her starting price of 1.34 looks too low and a lay at 1.25 in the early games would be ideal.

Update: Bouchard won 6-2, 6-2.

 

Zheng and Dellacqua are both having a good tournament.  Zheng knocked out promising American Keys and also Vinci in the first round.

Dellacqua handed a bagel to Flipkens in the last round and wrecked Zvonareva’s return to the tour in round one.

This should be a great battle and the crowd are likely to get involved to support home player Dellacqua. The way the Aussie crowd behave that support may not help her too much and may distract her from the task.

Dellacqua’s stats over the last 3 months are stronger and as long as she doesn’t appear to be shaken if the knobs in the crowd start their antics I am favouring her for the win. I will back her above evens and ideally after she goes an early break behind.

Update: Dellacqua won 6-2, 6-4.

 

Querrey took full advantage of the fast courts against Gulbis. I don’t think Gulbis won a single point against the American’s serve in the opening set. He wasn’t able to maintain his very high level throughout the whole match but it was a very impressive display.

Fognini doesn’t have a good record at the Australian Open but his tennis this week has been in keeping with his new higher ranking.

If Querrey keeps serving the bomb I’m not sure Fognini will have too much luck on return but once the errors start to creep in from Sam ( which is inevitable ) then the Italian will start to earn himself some chances.

I’d expect Querrey’s best serving to come in the opening set while he is fresh and he is likely to take the first set. I will then lay him as his level will drop in set 2. After that I’ll see who is coping with conditions better but Querrey’s serve is the key in the latter stages.

Update: Fognini won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.

 

 

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