Australian Open 2015 – week 1, day 1

Here we go with the first Slam of the season. Just 64 matches tonight!

I’m not going to go over the top for the first round matches on here. I’ll be in the members chatroom but obviously most people won’t be able to trade anything but the first batch of matches each night. I will try to avoid the matches with no early liquidity.

The Betfair tennis page at http://form.tennis.betfair.com/tennis has been shut down. As an alternative you can get a coupon from your trading software for In play matches in Aus. That will list the matches in order along with the prices and amount matched.

 

 

Midnight, Gajdosova v Dulgheru

Gajdosova is a much stronger player on hard courts than Dulgheru. She already has wins over Cibulkova and Petkovic in 2015 and her 2 losses have been to Kvitova and Ivanovic. She took Kvitova to 3 sets last week.

Dulgheru has lost 2 of her 3 matches this season. her win was against Sara Tomic who is ranked 1145th.

Gajdosova starts at 1.36 but if we can get 1.50 early I see that as decent value.

 

 

01:15, Lisicki v Mladenovic

Head to heads are 2-0 to Lisicki. Both matches were in 2013 and were won in straight sets.

Over the last 6 months Mladenovic has a losing record on hard courts.

Lisicki started her season superbly with a bagel over Shvedova but she ended up losing in 3 sets. She also lost her first round match in Sydney in 3 sets to Suarez Navarro. 1.37 feels a little low on a player with no wins this season.

Mladenovic has yet to win a main draw match this year but she did win 3 qualifying round matches in Sydney.

We could get a few swings in this one but I expect Lisicki to get her first win. I want a price above 1.60 before i even think about backing her though.

 

 

02:45 – Foretz v McHale

They start around evens. McHale looked ok in the opening games of her match with Alison Riske in Hobart but she retired having lost the opening set 6-4. She had also lost her first match of the season which was in Brisbane. She lost 6-5, 6-0 to Lucic Baroni

this is Foretz’ first tournament of the year. She won through the three qualifying rounds. She only played 5 main draw hard court matches in the last year and she lost 3 of them.

If McHale has sorted out whatever her issue was last week then she has an ideal game for hard courts. Her ground strokes look ok against Riske.

Foretz has had some success on the ITF hard courts but hasn’t beaten anyone of McHale’s calibre.

McHale will only need to play at 75% of her best to get the win. Be careful of retirement though. I will be trying to get out of the trade before the end of the first set.

 

 

If I get chance to add more previews during the night I will do so.

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