Australian Open 2015 – week 1, day 4

WTA, 01:15 – Giorgi  v Smitkova

Giorgi has won 7 of her last 10 matches. She reached the quarter finals in Hobart and knocked out Pennetta  in the first round this week.

Smitkova has won 8 of her last 10. She reached the quarter finals in Shenzhen. She has an easier first round beating Lucic Baroni 6-1, 6-1.

Against Pennetta Giorgi hit a huge 16 double faults. Smikova’s serve is more disciplined and she has only hit  8 double faults in her 4 matches this year.

We are likely to see a few breaks of serve in this one and despite her second serve issues I think Giorgi will somehow find a way to win.

Hopefully Smitkova can take an early break lead so we can lay her.

 

 

WTA, 04:00 – Keys v Dellacqua

Their only previous meeting was at the Australian Open 2  years ago. keys won in 2 tight sets.

Over the last 6 months Keys only has a 50% win rate on hard courts. Dellacqua fared slightly better winning 10 of her 18 matches on this surface.

This really should be a decent battle. Both players have shown some good form in 2015. Keys already has wins over Cibulkova and Kuznetsova but retired last week which was probably due to wanting to ensure she was ready for this tournament than anything more serious.

Dellacqua played the Hopman Cup but failed to win a match there. She had her first win when she beat Davis in Hobart. She beat Meusburger in straight sets in the first round this week.

Even though Dellacqua will have the crowd firmly behind her I have to favour Keys for this one. her game is just that bit bigger than her opponent’s.

Keys starts at 1.48 which is on the low side. I wouldn’t have priced her below 1.60 for this one. i think she will trade higher and I will wait for a price of at least 1.60 before backing.

 

I’ll be adding a couple more previews during the night.

    Trading Guide

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