12:00 – Almagro v Chela
Rankings are 16 and 41. Head to heads are 2-2. All 4 matches were on clay.
Almagro looked a little rusty yesterday and made hard work of his match with Giraldo. He needed 3 sets.
Chela also had a scare against Grega Zemlja (who?) losing the first set and needing a tie break to win the second.
I expect that Almagro is now back into the groove and having had a match to get used to the courts I’d expect him to deal with Chela in straight sets.
Over the past month Chela actually has better stats in most areas. Service games held are pretty even at 86%/87%.
Almagro saves a higher percentage of break points and also converts more of his own break point chances.
These two are quite even on a clay court but Almagro’s games transfers more readily to the faster courts. Back him on serve. If his mind is on the game he will win in straight sets.
16:00 – Melzer v Kohlschreiber
Rankings are 12 and 35. Head to heads are 3-2 to Kohlschreiber ( one of Melzer’s “wins” was a walkover).
Melzer is defending his title in front of his home crowd but he faces the German whose form is on the up. Kohlschreiber has a new coach which can often result in immediate short term improvements as they come in with a fresh outlook and enthusiasm.
Most of the stats point to a Kohlschreiber win. He holds serve 86% to Melzer’s 79%. He saves a massive 75% of break points against him ( Melzer 42% ) and converts more break point opportunities than the Austrian.
In Melzer’s favour is the home crowd support but I think it will be Kohlschreiber’s day.
Back Kohlschreiber on serve.
Two tighht sets or a 3 setter.