Dennis Novak 2.5, Norbert Gombos 1.63
Due to start at 5 pm.
Gombos won their only previous meeting which was also in Slovakia but in a clay Challenger. He won in straight sets.
Overall results are a little better for Gombos. Their indoor results are close but also favour Gombos.
Novak wasn’t broken in the 1st round and was broken just twice in his 3 sets win over Popyrin. He was underdog in that match. In the first round he only faced a single break point but his own return game was a little toothless. He needed a tie break in the first set.
Gombos lost just 2 games against a poor Cedrik-Marcel Stebe in the last round. I had expected that to be a lot more competitive so have to think Stebe was either injured or sick. Gombos won this title in 2016. He lost in the 2nd round last season.
Novak will be tough to break. Some value on him and I think we get 3 sets and tie breaks. I give the local player Gombos the edge. Lay Novak if he wins set 1. I’d back Gombos around 2.20 if we get that price early in the match.
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