Cincinnati 2013, Thursday

Well at least I got the day right this time! I had yesterday’s post market as Tuesday.

Quite an eventful day yesterday with perhaps the biggest news being the retirement of Marion Bartoli. She started her match with Simona Halep very well and easily took the set but Halep won the match in 3. Bartoli said after the match that she was retiring as her body couldn’t take the strains of professional tennis. Certainly one of the game’s characters. Who will whack those pesky invisible children now??


Ferrer takes on Tursunov who beat him earlier this year on clay. That seemed to give  Dimitry a real boost to his confidence and he has played some great tennis ever since. He is bound to fancy his chances on a hard court and 1.38 on Ferrer looks a little short. I expect to see Tursunov push the Spaniard very close and 3 sets are a real possibility.

Update: The 3-0 loss to the injured Del Potro at Wimbledon has really knocked the confidence out of Ferrer.

Tursunov won 6-2, 6-4.


Sloane Stephens is back on court following her defeat of Sharapova in the last round. It was very unlike Sharapova to allow a set and a break lead slip away. After that first set she didn’t play well at all and that was a factor in Stephens coming back to win.

Her opponent is Jankovic who I’m sure  Forrest Gump’s mum  would describe as a box of chocolates.

Jankovic has been getting the job done though even though it hasn’t been pretty. I expect this match to flip from one player to the other and I will be favouring Jankovic. Stephens has the potential to be a top player and has all the shots but she just isn’t always sure what order to play them in.

Update: Was it 16 breaks of serve or 17? They were all over the place.

Jankovic won 3-6, 7-5, 7-5.


Li Na has a strong head to head record over Kerber (6-1). Their 2 most recent matches were at the back end of last year and were both on hard courts ( Istanbul was indoor). Li won them both but they were close. Kerber took the opening set in the final in  Cincinnati 6-1.

Defending champion Li has admitted to being nervous as there is extra pressure to retain the title.

I expect another close match and think Kerber will push Li’s price a lot higher but Li tends to play the big matches better than Kerber and will come through in the end.

Update: Tight first set with just the one break that gave the set to Li. She took an early lead in the second but Kerber pulled her back only to be broken for the match.

Li won 6-4, 6-4.


Federer has gone back to his old racquet and  seemed more comfortable with it. Kohlschreiber played well but Fed came though in 2 tight sets.

A 13-4 head to head record doesn’t tell the whole story and Haas is more than capable of giving the defending champion a run for his money.

Fed starts at a higher than normal 1.50 which is the highest he has started against Haas in their recent matches. Fed was 1.09 when Haas beat him in Halle last season.

I’d prefer to lay a little lower than SP but I will look to be opposing Federer unless he comes out all guns blazing. We should see tight sets.

Update: The first set wasn’t close at all and went to Haas 6-1. Haas took an early lead in the second set but Federer came back to eventually take it. He finished the job in the 3rd.

Fed wins 1-6, 7-5, 6-3.

    Trading Guide