Murray v Nishikori (indoor hard court)
They have met 6 times and Murray leads 5-1. they played twice last season with Murray winning both in straight sets, one on a hard court and one on clay.
Nishikori’s only win was also their only meeting indoors. That was at the World Tour Finals in November 2014. He won in straight sets.
Great Britain go into the 4th rubber with a 2-1 lead after Murray easily beat Daniel in straight sets and he and brother Jamie won the doubles.
Murray really needed to play a match to get back into the swing of things as he hadn’t played since he lost to Djokovic in the Australian Open final. That will help his match fitness. He will be made to work very hard for the win today.
Nishikori hasn’t made a bad start to the year. He reached the quarter finals in Melbourne losing to Djokovic and then won the title in Memphis. He had a surprising straight sets loss to Sam Querrey in Acapulco. In his first match of this tie he beat Dan Evans in straight sets.
Murray thrives on the Davis Cup atmosphere as the crowd really get involved. If it turns into a long march then Murray’s fitness may become a factor. He starts around 1.30 but we have a decent chance of a better price on him in the opening set.
Back Murray if he is broken first or wait for him to lose the opening set for better value.
Murray to win in 4 sets seems like the most likely outcome.