Anderson v Matosevic:
What a week Matosevic has had so far. He has had to win seven matches to reach today’s final. He has beaten Karlovic, Bolgomolov, Gulbis and Sela. His last 3 matches were settled in 3 sets and yesterday’s semi final went to a third set tie break.
Anderson hasn’t exactly had an easy path to the final. Three sets were needed against Malisse. He had to save match points in another three setter with Roddick. In his semi final with top seed John Isner he was able to get the job done in straight sets. As you would expect with two big servers there was just 1 break of serve which came towards the end of the first set. The second set was settled in a tie break.
Anderson has to be a strong favourite due to his greater experience and also the fact that he has had to play a lot less tennis this week. However Matosevic has been underdog in each of his 4 main draw matches.
They have played once before. That was in a Challenger event in the USA in 2010. They were 1 set all and 6-6 in the third set when Matosevic retired.
Matosevic suffered from cramps in his semi final and also during his match on Wednesday. It is reasonable to assume he will also have problems today.
Anderson starts at 1.25 which isn’t a price I will be backing at. He has beaten Roddick and Isner in their back yard so it would be a huge upset if the Aussie qualifier wins this final especially with this being Matosevic’s 8th match and his problems with cramping.
I am hoping that the underdog gets off to a flyer and we see a higher price but the points I made above will keep Anderson’s price low even if he goes behind.
Straight sets win for Anderson.
Update: Anderson won 6-4, 7-6.