French Open 2012, week 1 Sunday

A huge number of games today with a lot of them having a favourite under 1.10 . That makes choosing which matches to trade a lot easier.


Berrer v Melzer:

Head to heads are 1-1 with Melzer winning their only previous clay court match.

Melzer is not 100% fit and has been suffering with a hip injury.  According to his Twitter account he wasn’t certain he would start this tournament.

Berrer has come through the qualifying rounds here with 3 straight sets wins. He beat Melzer in February on a hard court in 3 sets. In the slams as its over 5 sets for the men you tend to get fewer shock results as class usually comes through. However Melzer has only shown glimpses of the class that took him to the top 10. He has also had an ankle injury that saw him withdraw from Bucharest last month.

Berrer is often under-rated which is perhaps due to his inconsistency. You never know when he will come out with a great performance.

Last year Berrer made the third round and Melzer the second. In 2010 Melzer got to the semi finals where he lost to Nadal. I don’t see Melzer having a long run this year.

I’ll be starting with a lay on Melzer at 1.33 and will try to get a feeling of how much he fancies the challenge. Even if Melzer takes the opening set I don’t see this being over in straight sets.

Update: That didn’t go quite as expected. Melzer took a 2 set lead so even though I was out of my original lay it would have been rude not to lay Melzer at 2-0. Berrer took the next 3 sets 😉

Berrer won 6-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3.


Mahut v Roddick:

Head to heads are 4-0 to Roddick but they haven’t played since 2008.

Roddick starts at 1.72 which looks a big price. His last win was against Federer in Miami but he has lost his last 4 matches in straight sets. That includes last week losing to Berdych and Berlocq easily and Soeda played a great match against him to also win in 2.

Roddick’s confidence must be really low right now but he has been ranked number 1 in the world and Grand Slams bring out the best in him. Its 2007 since he lost in the first round of a major.

Mahut has played just 1 event since his wrist injury in March. That was a Challenger in Bordeaux where he reached the quarter final.

I will wait to see how Roddick starts but I think this match will get him back some of his confidence. This looks like a good match up for the American.

Update: WRONG! What a spanner.

Mahut won 6-3, 6-3, 4-6, 6-2.

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