Now we get to the start of a slam where there are only a few matches each day.
Most of the 8 matches don’t look very inspiring.
Anderson may be able to push Ferrer’s price higher than its SP of 1.15 but I think it will be an achievement if the South African gets a set .
Kuznetsova v Kerber, Robredo v Almagro and Suarez Navarro v Errani all feature in the betting tips .
I don’t expect too much from Vinci against Serena.
Troicki played well against Cilic but he was given a lot of help from his Croatian opposition. He is 3-3 in the head to heads with Tsonga but it’s 2010 since he beat the Frenchman.
They have never played a best of 5 match and I think its a huge ask for Troicki to win over 5 sets in Tsonga’s back yard. It isn’t unusual for Tsonga to start slowly. We need this today to give us a better price than the 1.12 he starts at. I prefer to wait for a higher price as a lay will need so much to happen to get a decent return.
It’s 9 years since Roger Federer was knocked out of a Grand Slam before the quarter finals. He was beaten in the third round of the French Open in 2004 by Gustavo Kuerten.
He has played Gilles Simon just once on clay which was in Rome last month. Fed won 6-1, 6-2. Simon is in decent form but I don’t give him much chance over 5 sets. I think Simon will give it everything in the first set with the crowd behind him but Federer will control this match.
The last match of the day at least gives us something to look forward to. Radwanska takes on Ivanovic.
Radwanska leads their meetings 7-3 and has won their last 6 matches. Included in those 6 matches were their only encounters on clay. One went to 3 sets and the other was 2 tight sets.
Their stats over the last 3 months are very similar although Ivanovic edges all of them except one. Radwanska has converted a higher percentage of break points.
Radwanska has looked vulnerable on clay prior to this tournament with losses to Robson and Halep.
I give a slight edge to Ivanovic in this one but 3 sets are likely.