Nadal v Murray: If Murray’s ankle is ok then Nadal’s price of 1.16 is a little surprising. Nadal certainly upped his intensity against Soderling but 1.16?
In their last match on clay Murray took Nadal to 3 sets which makes the starting price bizarre. Its down to Murray’s tactics. He has to be aggressive from the first ball. His passive style that he often slips into just won’t get the job done.
Surely worth a lay at that price although I expect Nadal to win over 5 sets.
Federer v Djokovic: Will Fed be the one to break Djokovic’s winning run? He still leads the head to heads at 13-9 but Djokovic has won the last 3. This is their first match on clay for 2 years. That match went to Djokovic in 3 sets. Federer isn’t often such a big underdog as he is today and he has been in great form so far. Perhaps he will enjoy playing with less pressure on him. Starting odds of 1.38 seem a little insulting to the Swiss number 1 although he will need to play at his very best to win this match. I can’t back anyone at 1.38 against Federer. Either a lay from the start or I will wait for better odds on Djokovic.