Friday 14th June 2013

The excellent week on the betting tips continued yesterday with Keys coming in at evens and the treble landing easily. Just Flipkens let us down although Rybarikova was serving like a bloke especially at the start of the match. From 13 tips this week there have been 10 winners, 2 losers and 1 void. 65% ROI ( and 15.3% ROI currently for June.).

 

Cirstea and Vekic both had to fight for their wins yesterday and I expect another battle for them today. Cirstea starts as slight favourite at 1.70. She served well overall against Jovanovski but was broken twice in the second set. She served 13 aces in that match.

Vekic had to work a lot harder for her points against Sanchez. She doesn’t have the big serve that Cirstea can sometimes find.

Looking at their stats for the last 3 months Vekic comes out on top on almost every key category. Cirstea coverts more break point chances.

I expect to see 3 sets in this one but the outright winner is hard to choose. Cirstea has more experience and will be having a swing at Vekic’s weak second serve. Whether the return hits the line or the linesman we will have to wait and see. I gie a very slight edge to Cirstea.

 

Surely Schiavone’s luck runs out today. Its the first decent opponent she has faced in Hantuchova. They are 3-3 in their previous matches but 2 of Schiavone’s wins were on clay.

Against Erakovic Schiavone’s first serve percentage was just 47% and has been dropping each round. To be fair her double faults are dropping each round and she only hit 6 yesterday!

Hantuchova’s serve has been up and down too and she hit 10 doubles against Mladenovic. She won just 37% of points on her second serve.

This is going to be a swingy match but Hantuchova has come off best in all but one of their matches away from clay and I give her the edge. Her SP is too low to back her though at 1.71 and I will be looking to lay Schiavone below 170 .

 

Defending champion Tommy Haas is in great form and finds himself once again in the quarter finals. his opponent is Monfils who has looked superb this week beating a disappointing Raonic in the first round and strolling past Hernych in the second.

Monfils leads the head to heads 2-1 and won their only recent meeting which was in January on the hard courts in Auckland.  Haas’ win was due to Monfils retiring in Cincinnati 2008.

Their stats for the last 3 months are very similar but Haas has the edge in every category.

Monfils announced after his last match that he has withdrawn his request for a wild card entry to Wimbledon due to a personal problem that can’t be delayed. There were no other details. You would think that if he knew of a problem that had to be dealt with immediately that he would have withdrawn this week. The fact that he hasn’t suggests that he will play out this week and go as far as he can.

I will be looking to lay Haas below 1.30 – 1.35 . He was dominant in his match with Gulbis but wasted a lot of break point chances. He took just 1 of 17 break points in the whole match.

 

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