Friday 26th July 2013

Will it be today that Fognini finally runs out of steam. I have a feeling it might be. He clearly still wants to win as we saw from his recovery against De Bakker in the last round but tiredness doesn’t just affect the limbs. His mind will be fatigued too and that’s when concentration starts to falter.

Klizan is in decent form himself and took out Leonardo Mayer in the last round. He almost blew a strong lead in the third set but Mayer has been striking the ball well this week and his serve has been excellent.

Foggy starts at 1.50 and i will be looking for a lay below that in the early games.

Update The initial lay worked ok as Klizan broke first. Unfortunately Fognini broke straight back. Fognini had received treatment to his wrist before the match started so I was still hopeful that he wouldn’t have much left in the tank. As it turned out Klizan looked the more likely to quit. He called the trainer and was looking very sorry for himself.

Fognini won 6-4, 6-2.

 

Wawrinka looks too low at 1.38 against Lopez. I would expect Stan to get the win but Lopez won’t be easy to break even on the clay. An early break for Lopez please!

Update: Lopez won the first break and held on to take the set. Wawrinka came back to take the second. Wawrinka retired in the third set.

Lopez won 6-4, 2-6, 4-3 (ret)

 

Monfils won’t be having everything his own way against Montanes. Montanes has found some of his old clay form in recent weeks and knocked out a rusty Gasquet in the last round.

Montanes actually leads the head to heads 4-1 over the Frenchman and has won both their matches in 2013. The most recent was in the final in Nice. They have played 4 times on clay and Montanes took them all.

Monfils hasn’t been tested yet this week and if he drops from his SP of 1.64 to below 1.35 I will be laying.

Update: Monfils took the opening set easily but  Montanes won the second. In set 3 Montanes led 5-4 and came close to taking the match but he didn’t quite make it.

Monfils won 6-2, 5-7, 7-5.

 

This evening Cirstea is favourite at 1.57 against Govortsova. The stats don’t rally back that up. Cirstea’s serve has been slightly better over the last few months but Govortsova’s return of serve has come out on top in the stats.

They have only played once before which was on a clay court last year. Cirstea won in 3 sets. Govortsova performs better on hard courts and I think she has a chance today of at the very least pushing Cirstea’s price a lot higher.

Update: Govortsova took a 3-1 lead but then lost the next 5 games.

Cirstea won 6-3, 6-2.

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