Heineken Open (Aukland) – Final

01:00 – Ferrer v Nalbandian

Rankings are 7 and 27. Head to heads are 6-5 to Ferrer. On hard courts its 5-2 to Nalbandian and the Argentinian has won their last 3 matches.

Ferrer has played well all week but has taken his foot off the gas in all his matches. He has struggled a little with his first serve and that has meant he has had to work that bit harder to hold serve. Having said that he has held serve 93% of the time this week.

Nalbandian’s serve can often be fragile but he finds a way to win his service games. This week has been no different and he has often found himself behind on his own serve. He has held serve 96% of the time which is great but can make backing him on serve a little nervy.

Nalbandian’s ground strokes haven’t been of the high standard we expect from him although he hasn’t looked like losing so far.

Although Nalbandian is ranked lower he is my favourite for the title.

Backing both on serve is statistically a smart strategy but as both often seem to go behind on serve you need to hold your nerve.

I wouldn’t recommend backing either from the start unless its with reduced stakes as its not unknown for them both to slip up early.

Update: Nalbandian was very poor throughout the whole match and Ferrer took full advantage.

Ferrer won 6-3, 6-2.

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