23:00 – Isner v Montanes
Rankings are 33 and 31. Head to heads are 1-0 to Isner.
Isner has had by far the hardest route to the Semi Final. He is more at home on fast courts and has a huge serve.
Montanes had a bit of a wobble last night against the unranked Lammer ( or LLama as the New Zealand commentators called him. I half expected him to start spitting at his opponent).
This could be a tight first set unless Isner’s serve is really on fire. Montanes started a little too cautiously last night and Isner has the game to punish a repeat of that.
Back Isner on serve is an option. Montanes also has a reliable serve but is Isner starts swinging at it he could force some errors from the Spaniard.
2 close sets with Isner going through.
Update: Both players started well with Isner in particular holding his serve comfortably. He was the first to break to move into a 4-2 lead. He won the next 2 games to take the set.
I didn’t watch the second set but it was a much tighter one ending in a tie break which went Isner’s way.
Isner won 6-2, 7-6.
I combined 2 strategies for this one but altered the plan having watched a few games. Back the favourite and Back the Server. I backed Isner at the start. I then backed him again at the start of his second service game. As it was obvious that his serve was working very well I decided that he was the least likely to be broken and left both back bets to run.
It pays to adapt your strategy based on what is happening on the court. Isner got the break and I gave him the opportunity to close out the set which he did easily with another break of serve. I placed my order at 1.12 midway through the final game and my estimate of where the price would be proved to be correct.