Indian Wells 2012, 12th March

Cibulkova v Vinci:

Cibulkova leads the head to heads 2-1 although Vinci won their last match ( on grass). 

Vinci has improved her ranking by over 20 places in the last 12 months and is in excellent form. Cibulkova is favoured by the market despite the fact that she retired in Dubai and has recent losses to Britain’s Keothavong and Arn.

Both had byes through the first round but Vinci has had a match to get used to the courts whereas Cibulkova played just 3 games before Rybarikova retired from their second round match.

The reportedly slow courts in Indian Wells favour Vinci. Cibulkova can struggle with her serve sometimes especially if her confidence isn’t at its highest. She hasn’t  recently produced tennis that would give that confidence much of a boost.

I think we will see plenty of swings in this one but I have to favour Vinci who has made me a boat load of profit in the last few months.

Update: The Bank of Vinci delivered again. She was first to break in the first set but they axchanged a few breaks before Cibulkova won the set in a tie break. Vince came back to win the second 6-0 and took a close  third set.

Vinci won 6-7, 6-0, 6-4.

 

Roddick v Berdych:

Roddick has won 5 of their last 6 meetings. He won their most recent match in January this year although it was in that odd Kooyong exhibition tournament.

Berdych had one of the best starts to the season of all the ATP players. He had a major blip against Murray where his serve deserted him and he appeared to be totally lacking in confidence that day.  He lost the first set against Stakhovsky in the last round but came back well.

Roddick has been a shadow of his top ten self for quite a while now. He was looking at an early exit against Kubot having lost the first set. Kubot served for the match but Roddick came out swinging and managed to break. He took the set in a tie break.

Roddick’s game is too one dimensional these days to trouble the big boys on a regular basis and even his famous  service game falters more and more frequently.

I think the best Roddick can hope for is 3 sets but it has to be Berdych for me. I think there’s a decent chance we will get 1.60 in the opening few games which is great value.

Update: Berdych broke in the first game so I didn’t get my 1.60 in the first set. Rodick mnaged to take the second set but it was one sided in the third.

Berdych won 6-3, 4-6, 6-2.

    Trading Guide

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