Indian Wells 2012, 13th March

Baghdatis v Dolgopolov:

Head to heads are 2-2. They have won alternate matches so its Baggy’s turn!

Baghdatis looks like he’s going to have a good season. His two wins in this tournament have been against a couple of potentially tricky opponents. Chardy and Lopez were both despatched with identical scores, 6-3, 6-4.

Dolgopolov has been his usual unpredictable self. One thing you can often rely on though is that his first set won’t be his best. He has lost the opening set in his last 4 matches. His most recent first set win came against Kubot in Rotterdam. He lost that match!

Dolgopolov can hit a streak of form that can worry almost any opponent.  He will have periods in the match where he looks unbreakable. In each of his last 6 matches he has had a tie break.(unfortunately there’s no money on the “tie brak played” market).

Baghdatis has been much more reliable and I have to go with him to get the win. 1.82 is an acceptable back price especially with Dolgo’s recent habit of losing the opening sets.

Update: Both players started well enough but Baghdatis started making more errors. Dolgopolov was coming up with some great forehands and edged the set. The second was very tight and Baghdatis won it with a late break. Dolgopolov controlled the third set although Baghdatis almost made a comeback.

Dolgopolov won 6-4, 5-7, 6-4.


Petrova v Kirilenko:

Head to heads are 4-3 in favour of Petrova.  On hard courts its 4-1.

Former world number 3 Petrova beat Sam Stosur in a third set tie break yesterday. It wasn’t a high quality match.

Kirilenko also needed 3 sets to reach th 4th round when Dominguez-Lino took the second set. Kirilenko has been playing some good tennis so far this season and will feel she has a great chance today. 

I think we’ll see 3 sets today and my gut feeling is that Kirilenko will take it. Petrova hasn’t had an outstanding start to the season whereas Kirilenko has shown that even when things aren’t going her way she hangs in there and often finds a way back.

Update: Kirilenko got off to a flyer in the first set. She lost just 1 game. The second was much closer and Petrova won it with a late break. Kirilenko again took control in the third to take the match.

Kirilenko won 6-1, 5-7, 6-2.

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