Indian Wells 2012, 7th March

Another good evening/night on the qualifying matches yesterday. So many great price swings with these less consistent players!  The liquidity isn’t so much of an issue if you’re going for the bigger price moves but stakes have to be smaller than usual unless you reall know the players.

The main draw for the women starts today and we also have the second round of qualifying for the men.

 

Date-Krumm v Parmentier:

Parmentier starts as slight favourite. She has put in some good performances this year.  Six of her last 7 matches went to 3 sets.  She won 3 of them but the losses were to players like Benesova, Niculescu and Ardidsson so nothing to be ashamed of.

Date-Krumm only seems to be able to produce her best tennis in Asia. She is playing a lot of her tennis in ITF events and between last october and January she reached 4 finals ( 3 of them in Asia ) and won 2 titles. On the main tour she has just 1 win which was against a player ranked 355.

Parmentier doesn’t have a great record in America but I favour her to get the win today.

Update: Parmentier didn’t do anything to improve her American record. Date-Krumm won 6-1, 6-3.

 

Keothavong v Bacsinszky:

Bacsinszky has had an extended break from the main tour through injury. She returned last week after almost a year and managed a very respectable performance against Begu taking her to 4-6 in the third set. Currently ranked 335 her highest ranking was  37 in June 2010.

Some players are able to recover their form quickly after a long break and it looks as though Bacsinszky could be one of them. She did play a tournament in her home country of Switzerland which she won which may have helped bridge the gap a little and give her some match fitness.

Keothavong has, as ever, been very inconsistent. She retired from the Oz Open but has since had wins over Cibulkova and Paszek. Her losses against Hsieh and Mirza were both close matches and both ended 4-6, 5-7.

I almost had this as one of my punting tips but the form of Bacsinszky may still have a little improving to do. Having said that I will be backing her in play as she has a stronger, slightly more consistent game.

Update: Bacsinszky won 6-4, 2-6, 7-5.

 

Cirstea v Benesova:

Benesova started the year exceptionally well but she has faded a little in recent matches.

Cirstea has also had a good start to the season although will have been disappointed to lose out to Babos in Monterrey and I’m sure will be fired up to get back into winning ways.

Benesova won their only previous meeting which was on clay in 2010.

I think this will be very close and that it will be settled in 3 sets but I will be laying Benesova as she doesn’t have the best record in America.

Update: Cirstea won 4-6, 7-5, 7-6.

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3 thoughts on “Indian Wells 2012, 7th March”

  1. Again no live pics?! 🙁 Is the scoreboards fast enough at least?! Would you recommend lower stakes on these no Pics (slow) SB matches?

    1. I have found the scoreboards generally fine. A couple of matches had issues at the start, for example the Govortsova match had her a break down at first but then the scoreboard reset itself and showed the first game again!

      If you have confidence in your scoreboard there is no need to reduce stakes for that reason. Only the market really encourages a reduction in stake.

  2. american suck… so big tournament without any live stream ??! or maybe layer will come from the 2nd round ?

    i hate trading just with scoreboard, cause there are so often big holes in the result.

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