Head to heads haven’t meant too much this week but for the record Sharapova leads 4-2. They only played once in 2012 and that went Sharapova’s way in 3 sets on the Miami hard courts.
Wozniacki has had just 2 straight sets wins in this tournament. Her latest was in the semi final when she was over powered in the opening set by Kerber who took a 4-0 lead. Woz prove more consistent and also disrupted Kerber’s play with a moonball barrage. I don’t see that being a viable option against Sharapova.
Sharapova hasn’t lost a set so far. I thought Kirilenko might put up more of a fight but was broken 3 times while Shara served superbly and only gave up 6 break point chances, all of which were saved.
I think there’s a fair chance of 3 sets tonight and so Sharapova’s SP of 1.27 is a little low. Their last 4 matches were shared but Wozniacki took the opening set in 3 of them.
I expect Sharapova to take the title.
Del Potro has faced scary head to head records in his last 2 matches but came back from a set down against both Murray and Djokovic. He has the same situation against Nadal with the Spaniard leading 8-3.
Del Potro’s 3 wins all came in a row in 2009 ending with a semi final victory in the US Open semi final. Del Potro went on to take the title beating Federer in the final.
Nadal has shown his recovery is going extremely well. Even when he was 3-5 down in the second set to in form Berdych he was able to win the next 4 games. He beat a below par/injured Federer in the quarter finals.
Del Potro’s 3 wins all came before his wrist operation. He has had to tweak his game since then to protect the wrist a little and I feel he is just starting to feel comfortable with it. As previous blog posts show I expected him to come off second best against Murray and Djokovic.
Del Potro has introduced much more backhand slice which was going to his opponent’s backhand. Today it will be going to the Nadal forehand and as the Argentinian’s court position sees him over to his left to enable him to make best use of his own forehand he will need to be wary of Nadal flattening a forehand return down the line. Del Potro will have to make more adjustments to his play than Nadal and I think this wil be the deciding factor.
Nadal starts at 1.62 .I’ll take 1.80+ to back the Spaniard. I’m really looking forward to this one.