19:00 – Jankovic v Stosur
Jankovic had a good win over Kleybanova in the Quarter Final.
Stosur hasn’t lost a set so far this week.
Both players seem fairly solid on serve so this should be a close game. Its a tough one to call but I’d give Jankovic a slight advantage.
Use the scalping and 15-40 methods.
Update: It was soon clear that Jankovic was on top. She was holding serve quite easily and threatening to break her opponent.
She won the first set fairly easily. In the second the players exchanged breaks and then jankovic broke again. She held on the take the match 6-2, 6-4.
23:00 – Murray v Soderling
Rankings are 4 and 7. Head to heads are 2-1 to Murray although they haven’t played since 2006.
Murray must feel like he has a chance to win this title with Federer and Djokovic both going out. Today’s match won’t be easy though.
Soderling’s form has been excellent since his poor start in the Australian Open.
Murray had an easy 4th round match as Almagro retired after 1 game in the second set so he should feel fresh for this match.
Both players win 86% of their service games although Soderling’s first serve percentage is slightly higher. On the other hand Murray saves 70% of break points against him.
You could back both players on their own serves although that guarantees you will be caught by a break ( assuming it doesn’t go to a tie break which is a real possibility in the first set)
I will be backing Murray on serve as I feel he will take the match. However if his first serve is poor Soderling will be looking to take advantage of the weaker second serves. If Murray isn’t holding convincingly I won’t be sticking rigidly to the original strategy and will assess the situation in play.
I will be in the chatroom during the match. Its usually very enjoyable in the chatroom during the games as people share their thoughts. If you haven’t tried it yet everyone is welcome whether you are a TradeShark Tennis member or not. We get a good mix of experienced and new traders and everyone is very helpful.
Update: Murray started well and almost broke serve in the opening game. I had backed him at break point and when Soderling came back I left the bet open as I felt Murray would take the set. I then backed Murray on serve. Unfortunately he lost serve and I switched sides.
Soderling raced to a 5-0 lead and took the set easily. I was able to level my red figure at -£10 on both players.
In the second set Murray just didn’t look himself. Soderling got an early break and I decided to let the open position run which would have given me around £60 if he won. At 5-4 with Soderling serving for the match I had a feeling that he may struggle and choke a little. That proved to be correct and Murray broke serve.
They ended in a tie break and at 5-2 I backed Soderling to add a little more profit.
Soderling won 6-1, 7-6.