Indian Wells – Saturday

19:00 – Simon v Dabul

 

Simon is ranked 21. Dabul is unranked. They haven’t played before.

 

Dabul won a tournament on the Challenger tour in January. Simon hasn’t won a match this year and I think his confidence will be low.

 

That is reflected in Simon’s price starting at 1.40 .

 

However Simon should be able to take the match. Wait to see how the opening couple of games go but I will be looking to back Simon on serve.

 

Update: Dabul won 7-5, 6-4. Simon was well below his best but Dabul played some great tennis. He kept his unforced errors down although was understandably nervous as he got nearer to the win.

 

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22:30 – Berdych v Serra

 

Rankings are 25 and 63. Head to heads are 1-0 to Serra ( 4 years ago on clay).

 

Berdych wins 88% of his service games. Serra wins 78% of service games so this could be a match short of breaks of serve. Sounds a good idea to back Berdych on serve. 🙂

 

Both men having a decent season. Serra hasn’t chalked up many wins but has had some tough draws.

 

Berdych to win in 2 tight sets.

 

Update: 3 tight sets! Berdych won 7-5, 4-6, 6-4.

    Trading Guide

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