Indian Wells – Sunday

Matches suitable for the 15-40 are listed on the forum.

 

18:00 – Tipsarevic v De Bakker

 

Rankings are 36 and 73. Head to heads are 1-0 to Tipsarevic.

 

Tipsarevic is in a decent spell of form.  He has reached a semi final and a quarter final and also beat Andy Murray in Dubai.

 

De Bakker reached the quarter final in Chennai (where he lost to Tipsarevic) but has done little else so far this season.

 

Tipsarevic wins 78% of his service games. Back him on serve.

 

He should win in straight sets.

 

Update: Tipsarevic retired in the first set with an abdominal strain. All bets void.

 

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20:00 – Karlovic v Almagro

 

Rankings are 29 and 40. Head to heads are 1-0 to Almagro although that was on clay.

 

Whilst Almagro has improved his effectiveness on fast courts he is still much more comfortable on clay.

 

Karlovic has a huge serve which is perfect for hard courts. He tops the Aces table with 369 in 18 matches, an average of 20.5 per match.

 

First serve % is 65% and he wins 84% of points where the first serve is successful. He also tops the table of service games won at 91%. Difficult to argue against the stats!

 

I can’t see Karlovic being broken many times so backing him on serve is an easy call. Hopefully Almagro can keep the sets close to keep Karlovic’s price up.

 

Karlovic to win in 2 tight sets.

 

Update: Almagro won 7-5, 7-6.

    Trading Guide

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