January 1st/2nd 2013

Another great night/morning. In fact it was by far the best session of the year so far! What wasn’t so great was the sleep I managed to get afterwards. What seemed like an endless stream of drunks making their way home after a skin full resulted in frequently interrupted sleep so I can’t see me being able to make it right through tonight’s session. If I hit the same “wall” as I hit this morning at around 4am I will most likely end the trading  session and recharge my batteries properly.

 

Oprandi made surprisingly short work of Luangnam yesterday. Even though her serving stats are reasonable she had very few easy service games especially in the opening set. Despite winning the set 6-0 she was taken to deuce in most of her games.

Today’s opponent is Wickmayer who is a class above Luangnam but can be as unpredictable as almost any of the WTA players. She came through her first round match with Rybarikova in straight sets but needed a tie break in the first set.

My first thoughts were that Wickmayer won’t have an easy match. Oprandi doesn’t have a terrible record against top 50 players in the last 12 months and won 2 of her 4 matches against top 20 players in 2012. Wickmayer is ranked 23.

In her first round match Wickmayer served reasonably well but as a “big server” I would have expected the occasional ace. There were none.

Wickmayer starts around 1.55 and whilst I would expect her to win I think she will trade higher. Oprandi seems to be getting used to playing without wearing more bandages than an Egyptian mummy and if she has an inspired day she can take at least a set.

Update: Oprandi broke serve in the very first game which gave us the higher price to back. Wickmayer who immediately broke back. After that Wickmayer started to take control and took the set.

In set two Oprandi had a short disagreement with the umpire and lost focus. She pretty much gave up and was swinging at shots as if she didn’t really care about the result of the stroke. Some went for winners but most flew long or wide.

Wickmayer won 6-3, 6-0.

 

Shvedova was impressive in the first round. She has played Vesnina just once before and Vesnina came out on top in 2 tight sets. That was 2 years ago though when Vesnina was the higher ranked player. Today Shvedova is at 29 and the Russian is ranked 68.

Vesnina also won her first match in straight sets but it was a match full of errors and breaks of serve. The wind badly affected both players but the standard of play was very poor at times.

I expect Shvedova to be the more consistent player and she will get a lot more easy points on her serve than her opponent will.

Shvedova starts at 1.67 but I would prefer to back her at or above 1.85 .

Update: Much less wind to affect Vesnina’s serve but it was an awful match from Shvedova.

Vesnina won 6-2, 6-3.

    Trading Guide

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