January 9th/10th 2013

I can’t have slept very well as for most of the night I was fighting tiredness. I finally  admitted defeat at around 5am.

A lay of Verdasco worked out well when Istomin finally broke him and took the set. Errani had a bad time at the office as she came up against Cibulkova on one of her inspirational shot making days. That cost me as a kept faith with the Italian until near the end of the opening set.

Flipkens’ fantastic start against Jovanowski meant the night wasn’t a total waste of time. I didn’t get matched at 1.50 on Radwanska, missing out by a split second. She then went on to break Vinci and take the set. That was about it for my night.

 

Radwanska v Li must be one of the top matches of the night. Both are unbeaten in 2013 and won their tournaments last week. Radwanska hasn’t lost a set this year but her play has still been below her best.

Li leads the head to heads 5-3 and she won 3 of the 4 matches that the pair played in 2012. Li has won every match that they played on a hard court.

It is 2009 since Radwanska took a set from Li and in their 3 hard court matches in 2012 Rad didn’t win enough games across the 3 games to have won a single match (she won 11 games)

I will be backing the Chinese player who starts at 1.85 .

Update: Ouch. Li played a terrible match. radwanska played well but was helped immensely by LI’s errors.

Radwanska won 6-3, 6-4.

 

Malisse and Kohlschreiber have played three times. Malisse leads 2-1 with Kohlshcreiber winning their last meeting although that was almost five years ago.

Kohlschreiber’s single win was in 3 sets  and their history suggests that this isn’t a good match up for the German. He starts at 1.48 . He made a good start against Falla but struggled after that. Malisse served extremely well against Giraldo and I expect him to give Kohlschreiber some problems today. He can be a serving machine if his head’s in the right place so I will be laying Kohlschreiber.

Update: So close! The set went to a tie break and malisse had a set point on Kohlschreiber’s serve. He wasn’t able to take it and a couple of points later it was Kohl’s turn to have a set point and he took it.

In a way i am relieved as I had laid Kohlschreiber again when his price dropped during the set which meant that when they reached the tie break I was able to trade out with profit.

Kohlschreiber won 7-6, 6-4.

 

 

    Trading Guide

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