Japan Open – Thursday

06:00 – Melzer v Troicki

Rankings are 13 and 54. Head to heads are 4-0 to Melzer.

Both players have had reasonable results lately with Melzer reaching the 4th round of the US Open and Troicki reached the semi finals of the Pilot Pen event.

The players’ rankings have been moving in opposite directions. At the start of the year hey were both around the 30th position.

Over the last 3 months they have held serve 82% and 79%. Troicki’s second serve can be vulnerable with him winning just 48% of points on it.

Troicki is slightly stronger on return of serve and converts slightly more break point chances.

I expect Melzer to take this but I don’t se it being easy. Back Melzer on serve. Troicki could also be backed on serve but he has pulled out of the Shanghai tournament next week. Its not clear why.

Update: Troicki won the first set on a tie break. Melzer came back to level the match at one set all. In the 3rd set Melzer was 5-2 up but Troicki pulled him back to a tie break which he won.

Troicki won 7-6, 3-6, 7-6.

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