June 20th – Match Picks

We are seeing some half hearted performances from favourites this week and I’d say if they are wanting a rest before Wimbledon then they won’t want to go any further in these tournaments this week. Look out for favourites with no points to defend this week and be careful who you put money on at a low price.

 

Pavlyuchenkova v McHale:

 McHale beat Wozniacki yesterday in 3 sets. She ran away with the first set but the 2nd and 3rd were much tighter. Woz isn’t a bad match up for McHale and this is the second time she  has beaten the former world number 1.

Pav came through against an injured Hsieh who retired in the second set. She has come through a slump in form but recent matches have shown some improvement. Her game is quite well suited to the grass courts. She is a good returner though she will need to be today.

McHale plays a very aggressive style of tennis which can be amazing when the balls hit the lines. She can quickly lose confidence if they start to miss though and also has a habit of losing her next match after a big win.

McHale starts at 1.50 which I feel is too low as this will be very close. I’ll be laying McHale from the start.

Update: Pav won the opening set but she made us sweat! The break came at 5-5 and she served out the set.

Pav won 7-5, 3-6, 6-4.

 

Schiavone v Begu:

My initial thoughts were to lay Schiavone here but having looked at Tennis Insight they are tipping Begu with 22 votes for her and just 1 for Schiavone.  That makes me nervous as TI trainwrecks are legendary.

Update: 3 setter with Schiavone winning in a third set tie break. 6-2, 2-6, 7-6.

 

Difficult to get inspired today not knowing who gives a toss and who doesn’t. Many will be motivated such as Seppi who is defending champion at Eastbourne. Melzer would be a lay if he wasn’t defending quarter final points. Tomic reached the quarter finals at Wimbledon last year so his focus has to be that event but he also needs to get some grass court matches in before then. Roddick served ok in his match yesterday and that will have given him a boost in confidence. He needs court time and should be motivated to win a match properly today.I don’t see Lorenzi beating Malisse on grass but at 1.22 its a dangerous back bet.

Far too many ifs, buts and maybes that will only be answered in play.

Update: Seppi won in straight sets. Melzer lost in 2. Tomic lost in 3 sets to Fognini. No way is he defending his quarter final points next week. Roddick goes through in straight sets v Chardy. Lorenzi put up a great fight against Malisse in the first set at least. Malisse won 7-6, 6-2.

 

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