17:30 – Dolgopolov v Baghdatis
Rankings are 56 and 19. Head to heads are 1-1 with Dolgopolov winning in China this month.
Baghdatis’ form has slumped a little since he was the best player around a couple of months ago.
Baghdatis chose to play in Moscow rather than defend his title in Stockholm. Perhaps he felt he had no chance of defending with the likes of Federer, Soderling, Wawrinka, Nieminen etc playing Stockholm.
Difficult to say how motivated he will be for this match. Perhaps he could be looking for revenge after Dolgopolov beat him in straight sets earlier this month.
There is little doubt that Dolgopolov is up for this tournament. He has been serving well and Baggy won’t find it easy to break him down.
They hold serve 79% and 73%. First serve percentages aren’t great at below 55% for both players. Baghdatis is better on return of serve although Dolgopolov converts more break point chances.
Watch the opening couple of games. I expect a tight match with perhaps just one break between them in each set. If Baghdatis is up for the fight then he would be an obvious favourite but his attitude doesn’t seem quite right at the moment.
Slight edge for Dologopolov in my opinion. Back him on serve.