London Olympics – Semi Finals, Friday 3rd August

Semi Final day in London. If anyone has bought tickets to watch the men on Court 1 then they will be disappointed as they’re on Centre Court. Oops.

Three of the top 4 seeds are still in the men’s event with Del Potro taking the 4th place. He plays Federer in the first match of the day. Federer has won their last 6 matches. They have only met once on grass which was at Wimbledon back in 2007. That was their first ever meeting and Federer won it in straight sets.

Del Potro’s serve has looked vulnerable during the week and if that is repeated today he has little chance. Federer pretty much owns Centre Court and he will be super motivated to get that last missing piece of the jigsaw. An Olympic Singles Gold.

1.19 is a crazy price. I’ll be waiting for higher.

Update: Wow! Del Potro took the first set and took the second into a tie break. Federer took that and twice served for the third set. each time he was broken back. After a marathon set Fed booked a place in Sunday’s final.

Federer won 3-6, 7-6, 19-17.

 

In the other men’s semi final it’s Murray against Djokovic. They have played 3 times this year and Djokovic leads 2-1.

Before the tournament I said that these 2 would meet in the semis and that Djokovic would win but I have been impressed with Murray this week. When he plays aggressively he can beat anyone and his serve has also improved in consistency over recent weeks.

Yes Murray lost a set to Baghdatis but Baggy lifts his game against top players and certainly didn’t disgrace his country. Djokovic lost a set to Fognini and came very close to losing the match against Hewitt. Obviously Hewitt’s pedigree on grass isn’t in question and he played well but his best days are a distant memory.

The Olympic crowds are different to the Wimbledon crowds and they are less versed in the etiquette of the Old England Club. This will be a loud, chavvy, badly behaved British crowd who will do whatever they can to give Murray an advantage.

This is a 50/50 match for me and therefore I will be laying Djokovic at 1.53.

Update: Fantastic performance from Murray. He played to his strengths, saved all break points and won 7-5, 7-5.

 

It’s surely just a matter of time until Serena Williams is once again world number 1. As a person she is low-life but you just can’t deny that unless she has an off day not many women can come close to beating her.

Williams has won her last 6 matches against Azarenka and in those matches Azarenka won just a single set. That was more than 2 years ago.

Azarenka has had to fight for 3 of her 4 wins this week although has yet to lose a set. Williams bagelled Wozniacki and Zvonareva.

Unless this turns out to be a Williams bad day 1.26 seems huge.

Update: Williams won 6-1, 6-2.

 

The other women’s semi sees Russians  Sharapova and Kirilenko go head to head. Their 5 previous meetings have given us alternate winners with Sharapova taking the last one in Indian Wells in March. In each of their last 4 matches Kirilenko took the opening set and their last 3 matches went to 3 sets. Should be a good one!

I think Sharapova breaks the alternate winners cycle today but 1.22 is way too low considering Kirilenko’s record in first sets against her. Incidentally you can get Kiri to win the first set at 3.50 on Betfair.

I will be laying from the start.

Update: No Kirilenko first set and no 3 setter. Sharapova won 6-2, 6-3.

 

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