Swedish Open and Mercedes Cup Wed

Swedish Open

Phau v Gabashvili

I’m usually looking for matches that are suitable for scalping but this one should suit the Back The Favourite strategy.

Gabashvili is currently 1.50 to back. Phau’s record this year has been woeful. He has played a few mugs too and still lost! Gabashvili lost in a final last week which was also on clay ( today’s surface )

I think this is worth backing him from the start and greening up either after he breaks serve or at the end of the first set. You make your own choice as to whether or not you let it run to the end of the match! ( That should guarantee that Phau wins 6-0, 6-0! )

Update: Gabashvili won 6-3, 6-2. Not a classic match but only really looked like being one winner ๐Ÿ™‚

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Mercedes Cup

Schuettler v Hanescu

Hanescu to take this one in straight sets but could be 2 close sets. Schuettler started very slowly in his last match so hopefully he’ll be more focused today.

15-40 or scalping is the way to trade this match. If Hanescu gets of to a fast start and an early break then Shuettler won’t get the opportunities to come back so let a back bet on Hanescu run a little.

Hanescu won their only previous meeting which was also on clay ( although that was 5 years ago ). He is the better clay court player.

Update: Schuettler was totally outplayed. If you let that back of Hanescu run you could have had a decent profit. Hanescu in straight sets 6-2, 6-1.

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2 thoughts on “Swedish Open and Mercedes Cup Wed”

  1. Thanks for the tip on Gabashvili, looks a sure winner, even with the 9 (!) double faults. ๐Ÿ™‚

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