14:00 – Monfils v Kohlschreiber – Live streaming pictures at bet365.com ( register for free to watch )
Rankings are 13 and 23. Head to head is 1-0 to Monfils.
Monfils is 1.47 on betfair which I think is about right. He should be too strong for his opponent but this won’t be a walkover. Kohlschreiber played very well in his semi final.
Trading options are to back Monfils on serve or back Monfils from the start of the game. The second option could be scary because whilst I expect Monfils to win the match there could only be 1 break of serve in each set. There is a 3rd option which is to also back Kohlschreiber on his serve but for me that could be a bit nervy as I would be expecting Monfils to break!
As always if you back Monfils from the start make sure you have a plan of what to do if it goes against you. Members should look at the “when it goes wrong” page on the site.
I’ll be backing Mofils on serve and as we have live pictures I will read the game and the players and as soon as I feel Monfils is on top I will back him and let it ride to the end of the set.
Monfils to win in 2 sets.
Update: Great match. In the first set Monfils’ serve was unstopable. he lost something like 3 points on his serve all set. However he couldn’t take advantage of break points and it went to a tie break that Monfils ran away with. He then lost concentration and managed to lose serve in the 2nd set. Kohlschreiber more than played his part and took the 2nd set 6-3. A very tight deciding set was finally decided when Monfils got the break and held his serve to the end to take only his second title.
For me this was a case of scaring myself to death. I was so certain Monfils would win in straight sets that I used stakes that were outside of my comfort zone. A couple of time I lost my bottle and bailed out but managed to come out with a good profit ( over 20% of the stakes used )
Think I’ll stick to my £200 stakes for a bit longer though!