Miami 2012 – Mens Semi Finals

The main event of the evening…..

Murray v Nadal:

Head to heads are 13-5 in Nadal’s favour. On outdoor hard courts its 4-4.

To be fair I feel Nadal is a little fortunate to still be in the tournament. He was clearly below his best against Nishikori and  was constantly under pressure on his serve. Against Tsonga he played well in the opening set but his level dropped after that and again he scraped through this time in 3 sets.

Murray has played better tennis . It wouldn’t be Murray if he hadn’t been holding some part of his anatomy and grimacing. This week the problem has been his stomach. He hadn’t been able to keep any food down and the Medic was called.  A couple of tablets seemed to do the trick although the pain seemed to return each time he lost a point.

He fought back well against an impressive Tipsarevic who had taken the first set.

Nadal was getting almost constant treatment in his match against Tsonga for a knee issue and there were also problems with his foot.

Murray has been serving pretty well and hopefully he will step up the level of aggression against the Spaniard. The Lendl effect seems to have faded slightly but I suppose as they become more used to each other the wariness decreases. Hopefully Lendl’s lesson of the week will be about not showing your opponent when you are in pain as someone like Nadal will feed off the negative body language.

1.76 on Nadal is equal to the highest we have seen in this match up. Murray won their most recent match which was on the hard courts of Japan. I feel that Murray should be comfortable in Miami as it is his second home so relaxing between matches and on rest days will have been easier.

I also feel that Nadal has more wrong with his body than the Scot does and that Murray will come through in either 2 very tight sets or a 3 setter.

Update: Murray goes through to the final as Nadal pulled out. Its a pity Nadal didn’t “personally” text me before I wasted my time on the post!

 

Djokovic v Monaco:

Monaco is often called the “poor man’s Ferrer”. A similar style and also a claycourt specialist who has developed his hard court game over recent months. He has proved since the end of 2011 to be a very tough opponent on the hard courts as Monfils, Roddick and Mardy Fish have found to their cost this week. Not a bad list of victims is it?

Can he add Djokovic to that list? I doubt it. Ferrer had to use every ounce of his strength and skill last night and couldn’t take a set. Having been blown away in the opening set and going a break down in the second he just refused to go away. Djokovic wasn’t able to maintain his incredible tennis from the opening set and Ferrer  pushed him all the way to a tie break.

Head to heads are 4-0 to Djokovic and I don’t see too much hope for the Argy this time either.

 

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