Miami 2013 – week 1, Wednesday

So many players on today’s card have either been in bad form or injured/sick or all of the above. It could be a bumpy ride today….

 

Donskoy’s season has started well with him reaching the third round at the Australian Open. In Indian Wells he took the opening set from Andy Murray.

Today’s opponent Devvarman has had some respectable wins with Phau, Paire both being beaten in 3 sets. he took Melzer to 3 and kept both sets close against Del Potro. In Indian Wells he was knocked out in the first round of qualifying by Viola. He lost 2-6, 2-6 as a 1.35 favourite.

Donskoy starts at 1.59 but I’d be happier with 1.80 . On current form I have to favour Donskoy.

Update: Donskoy took the opening set with a single break. He broke immediately in set 2 but Devvarman took it to a tie break which he won. Donskoy faded badly in the deciding set.

Devarrman won 4-6, 7-6, 6-2.

 

Shvedova leads the head to heads with Zheng 3-1. Zheng’s win was due to Shvedova retiring injured.

Shvedova’s re4cent form has been poor to say the least. She has lost her last 4 matches although all 4 went to 3 sets. She faded badly in those deciding sets.

Zheng’s season has been mixed. She started well enough beating Stosur in Sydney. She beat Stosur again at the Australian Open before losing in the third round to Goerges. In Dubai she reached the second round having come through the qualifying rounds. She lost weakly to Wozniacki winning just 1 game. Maybe that hurt her confidence as she lost badly to Pervak in the first round in Indian Wells.

Shvedova starts as favourite today due to the head to heads. If her serve is anything like its best then she has the game to take the victory. If it isn’t then Zheng’s consistecy will be enough to win.

I certainly won’t be backing at 1.60 as I want to see how the first few games go but I am looking to back Shvedova. An early break for Zheng will give a good entry point. I will be reducing the stakes for the initial lay of Zheng until i get a  feel for who ( if anyone) has found some form.

Update: Svedova broke immediately and went into a 4-1 lead. I didn’t follow it after that as i was interested in the Schiavone game but Zheng won 7-5, 6-4.

 

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