I think we have a good chance of getting Ferrer at a higher price than 1.30 against Nishikori. The Japanese player is playing well and saw off Malisse and Hanescu in straight sets.
The slow Miami courts favour Ferrer but we’re seeing a lot of the favourites having poor starts. I have gone for backing Ferrer at 1.75 in my betting tips which I think is maybe a touch optimistic but you never know. Nishikori has beaten Ferrer twice before including at the Olympics last year.
Update: No real contest.
Ferrer won 6-4, 6-2.
Simon leads the head to heads with Tipsarevic 6-2 and they are 5-1 on hard courts ( indoor and outdoor combined).
Tipsarevic had to fight hard to beat Anderson in the last round. That may be the win he needed to kick start his season after some very rocky weeks.
Simon has played some really awful tennis during 2013 but has still managed 2 semi finals, 2 quarter finals and a 4th round in Melbourne.
Potentially this match could be an exciting one to watch. In reality it is more likely to be frustrating one to have money on. Tipsarevic is more likely to be consistent on serve. Simon is likely to force himself to serve out games with his second serve.
I am going to favour Simon as I would rather be with the player who finds a way to win even when he looks clueless. I am looking to lay Tipsarevic below 1.70 .
Update: As expected it was a match with a lot of swings.
Simon won 5-7, 6-2, 6-2.