Miami, 29th March

Wozniacki v Sharapova:

Sharapova leads the head to heads 3-2 but Woz won their last 2 hard court matches ( both in America).

They had very different quarter finals. Sharapova was up against Li Na who had beaten her  the last 4 times. No one expected Li to play quite so badly and she held her serve just once in the entire match.

Wozniacki was expected by most to get over powered by Serena Williams. However Woz played one of the best matches I have seen from her in a while and Serena’s lack of fitness showed as she was dumped out in straight sets. Well worth staying up to see!

I did think that Wozniacki’s form might take a dip having lost the number 1 ranking but she actually seemed to play with a lot more freedom. Maybe she is enjoying having less pressure on her each time she steps onto the court.

Sharapova has struggled with her serve and also with Miami’s windy conditions. Even against Li Na she was broken in her first 2 service games.

Consistency will be the key today and Wozniacki does that as well as anyone.

Hopefully 3 sets from a trading point of view but I see Wozniacki winning this.

Update: A poor start from Wozniacki gave her a lot of work to do. However she came back strong and from being  1-4 down she won the next 5 games to take the set. The second set didn’t start well for Woz and she was 0-4 down. This time she couldn’t come back and it went into a third set.

Sharapova again raced into a lead and at 5-2 she served for the match. Wozniacki broke her serve and then held her own to force Sharapova to try to again serve for the match. This time she held it together.

Sharapova won 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.

 

Monaco v Fish:

An earlier start time than Monaco’s match with Roddick  so the conditions will be a little faster.

Head to heads are 2-2 but they have played just twice in the last year. Monaco won both. The first was on clay so you’d expect him to win. The second was in November on a hard court. They were 1 set each when Fish retired.

Monaco was being outplayed by Andy Roddick in the first set. The American was 4-2 up but seems to just melt down mentally. He held his serve just once more in the whole match ( and faced a break point in that game too).

Fish was also helped by his opponent when Almagro seemed distracted in their opening set. It wasn’t until midway through the second set that Almagro really started to play. In the third set Almagro seemed to be in control but having wasted numerous break opportunities he gave his serve away cheaply at the end and Fish served out the match.

Both have been consistent on their own serve and I think each set will be close.

Monaco will never give up. Fish is perhaps more likely to have a weak period of the match but once he gets his serve going he has been holding easily most times.

Fish has finally got his wish to play on the Stadium court rather than the Grandstand one. I have read that the Stadium court is playing a little sower which could actually favour Monaco if that’s the case.

Hard to pick a winner but I think Fish will edge it in 3 sets.

Update: Having lost his serve just twice in the tournament Fish  was broken 5 times in this match. Great performance from Monaco but not a good day at the office for the American.

Monaco won 6-1, 6-3.

    Trading Guide