Monday 11th February 2013

Plenty of tennis today as we have 5 tournaments on this week. One of those weeks where you get the chance to trade tennis pretty much whatever hours you work 🙂

 

Simon’s serve was far from its best last week. Today he plays Daniel Brands who won their only previous match although that was 4 years ago.

Brands is in decent form and has come through the qualifying rounds. He reached the semi finals in Doha in January beating Monfils in the quarter final and narrowly losing to Gasquet 7-5, 7-5.

Simon starts at 1.65 and I wil be looking for an early opportunity to lay him below 1.50 . Simon doesn’t have a great record in Rotterdam and this one can go either way.

Update: Brands took the first 2 games. I had placed a small lay in case Simon lost his serve so had some profit but not huge. Simon then came back with the next five games. Brands pulled back to 6-6 but Simon took the tie break. A single, late break gave the second set to Simon.

Simon won 7-6, 6-4.

 

Tomic has started reasonable well this season. He won the title in Sydney and reached the 3rd round of the Australian Open before losing to Federer. He has lost 9 of his last 10 matches in Europe but has also won 10 of his last 11 matches.

Today he is up against Dimitrov who also started the year well and reached the final in Brisbane where he lost to Andy Murray. Since then he has lost his first round matches in Sydney, the Australian open and Zagreb.He is due to find his form again but i don’t think this will be a good match up to do that today.

Dimitrov has the better game for indoor hard courts but when Tomic is confident he can be a very tough tough opponent for all but the very best players.

Tomic starts at 1.78 and I feel if we can get him above 2.20 its great value on the Aussie.

Update: Well, Dimitrov won 6-5, 3-6, 6-3. 

 

Robredo starts as favourite against Bolelli. he leads the head to heads 2-1 and if he was playing at his best then I would say 1.57 is a decent price. However I aren’t convinced that he is anywhere near his best. There is always an injury not a million miles away and his straight sets loss to Lorenzi last week suggests that Bollelli has a decent chance of taking this one. Worth a lay at the start.

Update: Bolelli won 6-2, 6-4.

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