Monday 24th September 2012

More early starts this week. A few qualification matches in the ATP so we will have a larger list in the morning.

Makarova had a long week last week reaching the semi finals before losing in 3 sets to Wozniacki. She starts today at 1.45 against Hantuchova. Hantuchova won their only previous meeting back in 2009 but her form has been poor lately. Even so, 1.45 is just too low to be backing Makarova as her legs may be a little heavy at the start.

This will probably end in a win for Makarova but I think we will see a price around evens at least on her.

Update: Well a rubbish day for the blog picks as far as the match results go. Makarova started much the stronger and was ahead a break inn the first set. Hantuchova started to play a bit better and broke back. She held to go 5-4 up and then broke to take the set.

They exchanged a break or 3 in the second set and Makarova levelled the match at one set all. I didn’t watch the third set but it went Hantuchova’s way.

Hantuchova won 6-4, 4-6, 6-3.

 

 Melzer should be too strong for Pospisil and starts at 1.57. Not a great price so I will be waiting for 1.80. Melzer is always capable of a shocking performance but I think this is a good match up for him.

Update: So frustrating to see a highly talented player like Melzer piss his talent up the wall.

He struggled with serve early in the match and was broken. I backed him at 1.84 and 2.14  and he obliged with an immediate break back. I removed most of my liability at that point and as I had to go out I considered leaving all the green on him. I watched a couple of games and decided he wasn’t playing as well as expected and levelled the green. When i returned Pospisil had set point which he took ( or rather Melzer pushed a passing shot beyong the baseline).

I was told in chat that Melzer had taken an MTO just before I returned and was arguing with everyone. He was broken in his first service game of the second set and promptly quit.

Pospisil won 6-4, 2-0(ret).

 

The players have had chance now to work out Brian Baker’s game and how to deal with him. No surprise factor anymore but I still think he will be able to get past Yani in straight sets.  However I want 1.60 before backing him.

Update: Brian Baker didn’t look at all good. He was soon a break down and lost the first set. in the second he went a break up but immediately gave it back.

Yani won 6-3, 7-6.

 

Teacher’s comments. Very poor. See me.  C-

    Trading Guide

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