Monday 29th July 2013

Things are shifting over to America from this week with just one European tournament. I quite like the American swing of the season. I have the mornings pretty much to myself and I don’t mind the late shifts at all. Juggling the family stuff is a little trickier it has to be said but my wife works a lot of lates too so not so much of a problem this year.

 

In Austria Mayer, Montanes and Fischer look good for wins  Fischer is under dog against Zeballos who retired last week ( on set point you TWAT!! ) but I’m over it now. Mayer and Montanes are too low at the start though. I’m not sure how much motivation Montanes will find this week but with the clay season disappearing fast he may look to grab points while he can.

Update: Montanes and Mayer won in straight sets. Fischer’s price dropped to below 1.60 prematch. Zeballos was only able to serve at a reduced speed but his grounstrokes were strong. Having watched a few games it wasn’t a great surprise when Zeballos took the set. Fischer took advantage of Zeballos struggling to take the second set but Zeballos was able to use his experience to get the job done in the third.

 

In America Stosur takes on Lepchenko who took Radwanska to 3 sets last week. Stosur lost to Govortsova in straight sets so her starting price of 1.50 looks a bit optimistic. I’ll look for a lower lay on the Aussie which will also give us chance to assess how she is playing this week.

Update: A very slow start from Stosur and Lepchenko twice went a break up in the first set but Stosur fought back to win in straight sets. 

Stosur won 7-, 6-1.

 

Both Goffin and Lu have been doing well on the Challenger tour recently with Goffin winning in Turkey and Lu winning in Beijing. I’m going with Lu in this one as I have him as the better hard court player but everything except serve stats are pretty close. Lu has the more effective serve for the faster courts. Lu starts at 1.80 and I’m sure we will get a price above evens if they both keep holding in the opening games.

Update: 2 tight sets but it was Goffin who came through 6-4, 6-4.

 

Kiki Bertens is going through a slump in form of “Barthelic”  proportions. She has won just 1 of her last 10 matches. Bizarrely her single win in that time was as underdog to Schiavone in Rome!

Today’s opponent offers her the chance to stop the rot but even Cepelova beat her the last time they played which was on a hard court last year.

Cepelova hasn’t been in terrific form herself but did push Vinci very close at Wimbledon losing 9-7 in the third set.

Berten’s confidence must be on the floor so she needs to get off to a fast start. if she doesn’t I think Cepelova could take this. Prices are around evens.

Update: Capelova won 6-4, 0-6, 6-3.

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