Monday 5th August 2013

The Rogers Cup starts this afternoon in Canada.

First up we have Pennetta and Urszula Radwanska. Radwanska had a decent week last week beating Jankovic and Erakovic before being battered by Azarenka.

Pennetta has played just one recent hard court match. She lost that to Schiavone. The first set was settled in a tie break following 12 consecutive breaks of serve.

They have played just once before which was on grass last year. Radwanska won easily in 2 sets.

Pennetta doesn’t have a good record on hard courts in the last couple of seasons and Radwanska is rightly the favourite on Betfair. She starts at 1.65 which is almost value. Above 1.80 sounds better and anything above evens is definite backing territory.

Update: Rad reached 1.80 very early and then broke serve to give a decent trade. Pennetta came back into the set though and eventually won it. Radwanska was better in the second set and level;led the match but it was Pennetta who took the third.

Pennetta won 6-3, 3-6, 6-2.

 

Laura Robson is favourite against Wickmayer. Wickmayer reached the semi finals in Eastbourne beating Kvitova and Kirilenko. For some reason she completely fell apart in the semi final and hasn’t won a match since.

Robson also had a good grass season and reached the 4th round at Wimbledon. She had been serving very poorly before Wimbledon but managed to sort out her performance from the line. Since then however she cant serve a sandwich.

American crowds love Robson and they could well give her the boost that the British crowd gave her in June. Her ground strokes are more than enough to beat Wickmayer but she needs to be solid at the service line.

If she is holding ok in the opening games then backing her is the plan. Not at 1.62 though. again, I want at least 1.80 to 1.90 .

If her serve is all over the place then we need to look at how well her opponent is serving. Wickmayer’s problems haven’t just been about her serve though. Her whole game and brain turned to mush but if Wickmayer serves well and Robson doesn’t then it’s Wickmayer’s match to win or lose. I think that makes sense….

Update: Robson was forced to withdraw with a broken serve……er I mean a right wrist injury.

 

Will Tipsarevic end the season in the top 20? It is looking less and less likely as the year goes on and he is now at number 19.The former top 10 player read some of his thought provoking tattoos ……… and his mind melted. People kept telling him he was a professional tennis player but he just couldn’t find any reference to it on his arms.

Since he reached the 4th round of the Australian Open and had to retire with a jarred heel he has only managed to win 2 matches at a tournament twice.Third rounds in Miami and Roland Garros are his best results.

Istomin isn’t doing much better. To be fair he started the season pretty well. January and February saw him in 3 quarter finals and a semi final in Memphis.March saw him in the quarter finals of the Dallas Challenger but between then and Wimbledon he never made it past the second round.  Being back in America seems to have done him some good and he made the quarter finals in Atlanta losing in 3 sets to Kevin Anderson which is no embarrassment. Last week in Washington he met Sam Querrey in the second round and lost in a third set tie break.

Tipsarevic has won all 3 of their previous meetings but they haven’t played since 2010. I’d say this is going to be close and I have to give a slight edge to Istomin. I will be looking to lay Tipsarevic under 1.35 to 1.40 for a trade.

Update: Istomin won in straight sets 6-4, 6-3.

 

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