Monday’s matches

Not many games today but at least they’re spread out. All bar federer’s match with Starace has decent prices too.

 

Davydenko v Simon:

Simon leads the head to heads 5-1. Simon reached the  semi finals last year so will be motivated to play well this week.

I keep waiting for Davydenko to find at leat some of the form that made him a great player a couple of years ago but am always disappointed. I don’t buy the excuse that is because he changed his racquet after his injury. If thats it change the bloody thing back!

Simon has been performing badly in firsts ets but he should be more focussed this week. His ranking is back to 11 and he won’t want to elt that slip before the end of the season.

Simon starts at 1.50 which is fair and therefore of little value. Due to gis recent bad starts i think we will see 1.75  during the opening games as traders decide who is in the better form.

Part  stake on Simon at the start and the rest at 1.75 – 1.80 . Davy is running out of ideas after a few games so I don’t give him much chance of an upset.

Update:  Davydenko served pretty well. At least on first serve. His second serve was terrible yet he managed to take the first set as Simon made his usual slow start.

Simon came back to take the second set but it was Davy who held it together in the third to win 6-4, 4-6, 6-3.

 

Melzer v Young:

Melzer leads the head to heads 2-1 but Young won their only recent encounter In August this year. melzer retired in the third set.

Melzer’s form improved last week in his home tournament. He was over powered by Anderson in the  quarter finals and so wasn’t able to defend his title. That isn’t going to help his ranking or his fragile attitude.

Young has had the best year of his career and is no longer considred as an easy opponent. He recently lost to Murray in the final of the Thailand Open. It is a concern though that Young hasn’t payed for 3 weeks since his loss to Wawrinka in Shanghai.

If this comes down to fitness you would have to give the edge to Young and Melzer is just so fragile this season. I feel that if things start to go against him that melzer just won’t have the heart to fight back.

I’m going for a lay of Melzer from the start as i think Young has a great chance here.

(2.54)

Update: Melzer withdrew from the tournament with a back injury.

 

Thankfully the punting tips were much more successful 😉

http://blog.tradesharktennis.com/forum/information/tips-experiment/page-2

 

 

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