13:30 – Verdasco v Nadal
Rankings are 12 and 3. Head to heads are 9-0 to Nadal. Verdasco has never taken a set off Nadal on clay.
There have been a few strange results and odd matches this week but this won’t be one of them.
Nadal has been close to his best this week and although Verdasco is also playing extremely well unless Nadal suffers an injury how can anyone predict a Verdasco win?
As traders we really need Verdasco to make a match of it though and it has to be in the first set. If Nadal gets an early break in the opening set then as a trading match its all over. Verdasco making a match of it in the second set will have little effect on Nadal’s price unless Verdasco wins the set.
Can Verdasco break serve? Anything’s possible. Is it likely? Not really but you could try laying Nadal from the start for low liability.
Personally I see it being Nadal’s match in straight sets but would love to see Verdasco push him close.
Update: Nadal broke serve in the very first game and won the match 6-0, 6-1